Background: Hypoglycaemia remains a major limitation in insulin-treated diabetes despite advances in continuous glucose monitoring (CGM). AI-predictive CGM systems aim to reduce hypoglycaemia by forecasting impending low glucose events and enabling earlier preventive interventions. The overall effectiveness of these technologies has not been comprehensively synthesized. Methods: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials comparing AI-predictive CGM with standard CGM or usual care. Electronic databases were searched from inception to the final search date. Primary outcomes included hypoglycaemia burden (time below range), with secondary outcomes comprising severe hypoglycaemia, time in range, HbA1c, mean glucose, and CGM wear duration. Random-effects meta-analyses using REML were performed. Risk of bias was assessed using RoB 2.0, and certainty of evidence was evaluated using GRADE. The review was prospectively registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251270444). Results: Eleven randomized trials involving 1,164 participants were included. AI-predictive CGM significantly reduced hypoglycaemia burden and severe hypoglycaemia events compared with comparators. Improvements were also observed in time in range, HbA1c, and mean glucose levels, without a consistent effect on CGM wear duration. Substantial heterogeneity was noted across outcomes, but the direction of effect consistently favored AI-predictive CGM. Conclusions: AI-predictive CGM is associated with clinically meaningful reductions in hypoglycaemia and improved overall glycaemic control. These findings highlight the added value of predictive intelligence beyond conventional CGM and support its role in contemporary diabetes management.
Literature Search A comprehensive literature search was conducted to identify randomized controlled trials evaluating AI-predictive continuous glucose monitoring and hypoglycaemia outcomes. Electronic databases including PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane CENTRAL, and Web of Science were searched from inception to the date of final search. Additional records were identified through ClinicalTrials.gov and manual screening of reference lists of relevant studies. Search terms combined concepts related to continuous glucose monitoring, artificial intelligence or predictive algorithms, hypoglycaemia, and randomized trials. No language or publication status restrictions were applied. The search strategy was developed a priori and aligned with PRISMA guidelines [16]. This systematic review and meta-analysis were prospectively registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO; registration number CRD420251270444). Screening and Selection of Studies Titles and abstracts retrieved from the literature search were independently screened by two reviewers to identify potentially eligible studies. Full texts of relevant articles were then assessed for inclusion based on predefined eligibility criteria. Discrepancies at any stage were resolved through discussion and consensus, with involvement of a third reviewer when necessary. Reasons for exclusion at the full-text stage were documented. The study selection process was conducted in accordance with PRISMA guidelines and is presented using a PRISMA flow diagram. Data Extraction Data were independently extracted by two reviewers using a standardized, pre-piloted data extraction form. Extracted information included study characteristics (author, year, country, design, sample size, and follow-up duration), participant demographics and clinical characteristics, details of the AI-predictive continuous glucose monitoring intervention and comparator, and outcome data related to hypoglycaemia burden and glycaemic control. Primary outcome data included time spent in hypoglycaemia (<70 mg/dL and <54 mg/dL), while secondary outcomes included hypoglycaemic event frequency, severe hypoglycaemia, HbA1c, mean glucose, and adverse events. Any discrepancies in data extraction were resolved by consensus or consultation with a third reviewer. Statistical Analysis Statistical analyses will be performed using Stata version 18.0 (StataCorp, College Station, TX, USA). For continuous outcomes, pooled effect estimates will be calculated as mean differences (MDs) or standardized mean differences (SMDs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). For dichotomous outcomes, risk ratios (RRs) with 95% CIs will be used. A random-effects model using the restricted maximum likelihood (REML) method will be applied to account for between-study heterogeneity. Statistical heterogeneity will be assessed using Cochran’s Q test and quantified with the I² statistic. Prespecified subgroup and sensitivity analyses will be conducted to explore sources of heterogeneity, and publication bias will be evaluated using funnel plots and Egger’s test where appropriate. Risk of Bias Assessment The risk of bias of included randomized controlled trials will be independently assessed by two reviewers using the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool for randomized trials (RoB 2.0) [17]. Bias will be evaluated across five domains: (1) bias arising from the randomization process, (2) bias due to deviations from intended interventions, (3) bias due to missing outcome data, (4) bias in measurement of the outcome, and (5) bias in selection of the reported result. Each domain will be judged as low risk, some concerns, or high risk of bias, leading to an overall risk-of-bias judgment for each study. Discrepancies will be resolved by consensus or by consultation with a third reviewer.
Demographic and Baseline Characteristics
A total of 11 [18-28] randomized controlled studies were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis, comprising an overall population of 1,164 participants. Of these, 568 were male and 596 were female, reflecting a balanced sex distribution across the included trials. The pooled mean follow-up duration was 12.49 months, allowing assessment of both short- and intermediate-term outcomes. The mean age of participants was 37 years, with most studies enrolling predominantly adults, although some included younger populations. The majority of participants had type 1 diabetes mellitus, with one study including individuals with insulin-treated type 2 diabetes. Baseline glycaemic control was moderate, with a mean HbA1c of 6.71%, and the mean duration of diabetes was 13.52 years, indicating a largely experienced insulin-treated population at established risk for hypoglycaemia.
Effect of AI-Predictive Continuous Glucose Monitoring on Hypoglycaemia Burden
Figure 2 illustrates the pooled effect of AI-predictive continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) on hypoglycaemia burden across 11 randomized controlled trials, analyzed using a random-effects REML model. Individual study estimates are represented by squares proportional to their statistical weight, with horizontal lines indicating 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Considerable variability is observed across studies, reflecting differences in study populations, CGM devices, and follow-up durations. Overall, Figure 2 demonstrates a statistically significant reduction in hypoglycaemia burden with AI-predictive CGM, with a pooled effect size of 34.63 (95% CI: 20.84–48.41) favoring the intervention. Substantial between-study heterogeneity was present (τ² = 542.52; I² = 99.91%), confirmed by a significant Cochran Q test (Q(10) = 8254.80, p < 0.001). Despite this heterogeneity, the overall effect remained significant (z = 4.92, p < 0.001), supporting the clinical benefit of AI-predictive CGM in reducing hypoglycaemia burden.
Figure 3. Effect of AI-Predictive Continuous Glucose Monitoring on Hypoglycaemia Burden
Figure 3 depicts the pooled effect of AI-predictive continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) on hypoglycaemia burden across 11 randomized controlled trials, analyzed using a random-effects REML model. Each study is represented by a square proportional to its statistical weight, with horizontal lines indicating the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The individual effect estimates demonstrate variability in magnitude across studies, reflecting differences in study populations, intervention characteristics, and follow-up durations. The overall pooled estimate shows a statistically significant reduction in hypoglycaemia burden with AI-predictive CGM, with a summary effect size of 21.90 (95% CI: 9.54–34.26) favoring the intervention. Substantial heterogeneity was observed among the included trials (τ² = 435.43; I² = 99.89%), and the Cochran Q test confirmed significant between-study variability (Q(10) = 1864.31, p < 0.001). Despite this high heterogeneity, the overall effect remained statistically significant (z = 3.47, p < 0.001), indicating a consistent direction of benefit across studies.
Effect of AI-Predictive Continuous Glucose Monitoring on Hypoglycaemia Burden
Figure 4 shows the pooled effect of AI-predictive continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) on hypoglycaemia burden across 11 randomized controlled trials, analyzed using a random-effects REML model. Individual study estimates are represented by blue squares, with square size proportional to study weight and horizontal lines indicating 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The magnitude of effect varies across studies, reflecting heterogeneity in study populations, intervention characteristics, and follow-up duration.The overall pooled analysis demonstrates a statistically significant reduction in hypoglycaemia burden with AI-predictive CGM, with a summary effect size of 29.13 (95% CI: 17.22–41.03) favoring the intervention. Substantial between-study heterogeneity was observed (τ² = 404.13; I² = 99.89%), confirmed by a significant Cochran Q test (Q(10) = 1593.85, p < 0.001). Despite this heterogeneity, the overall effect remained statistically significant (z = 4.79, p < 0.001), indicating a consistent direction of benefit across included trials.
Effect of AI-Predictive Continuous Glucose Monitoring on Severe Hypoglycaemia Events
Figure 5 summarizes the pooled effect of AI-predictive continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) on severe hypoglycaemia events across 11 randomized controlled trials, analyzed using a random-effects REML model. Individual studies are represented by blue squares proportional to their statistical weight, with horizontal lines indicating 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The pooled estimate demonstrates a statistically significant reduction in severe hypoglycaemia, with an overall effect size of 0.70 (95% CI: 0.17–1.23) favoring AI-predictive CGM. However, there was extreme between-study heterogeneity (τ² = 0.80; I² = 99.99%), confirmed by a significant Cochran Q test (Q(10) = 585.23, p < 0.001), reflecting substantial variability in event definitions, baseline risk, and intervention characteristics across trials. Despite this heterogeneity, the overall effect remained statistically significant (z = 2.57, p = 0.01), indicating a consistent direction of benefit with AI-predictive CGM in reducing severe hypoglycaemia events.
Effect of AI-Predictive Continuous Glucose Monitoring on Time in Range
Figure 6 illustrates the pooled effect of AI-predictive continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) on time in range (70–180 mg/dL) across 10 randomized controlled trials, analyzed using a random-effects REML model. Individual study estimates are represented by blue squares, with square size proportional to their statistical weight and horizontal lines indicating 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The pooled analysis demonstrates a significant improvement in time in range with AI-predictive CGM, with an overall effect size of 1.35 (95% CI: 1.22–1.48) favoring the intervention. Moderate between-study heterogeneity was observed (τ² = 0.03; I² = 67.16%), with a significant Cochran Q test (Q(9) = 27.71, p < 0.001). Despite this heterogeneity, the direction and magnitude of effect were consistent across studies, and the overall effect was highly statistically significant (z = 20.21, p < 0.001), supporting the benefit of AI-predictive CGM in improving glycaemic time in range.
Effect of AI-Predictive Continuous Glucose Monitoring on HbA1c
Figure 7 presents the pooled effect of AI-predictive continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) on glycaemic control as measured by HbA1c across 10 randomized controlled trials, using a random-effects REML model. Individual studies are depicted by blue squares proportional to their statistical weight, with horizontal lines indicating 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
The pooled analysis demonstrates a significant improvement in HbA1c favoring AI-predictive CGM, with an overall effect size of 1.30 (95% CI: 1.15–1.46). Moderate to substantial heterogeneity was observed across studies (τ² = 0.05; I² = 74.70%), confirmed by a significant Cochran Q test (Q(9) = 36.87, p < 0.001). Despite this heterogeneity, the direction of effect was consistently favorable, and the overall effect was highly statistically significant (z = 16.15, p < 0.001), indicating that AI-predictive CGM is associated with meaningful improvements in long-term glycaemic control.
Effect of AI-Predictive Continuous Glucose Monitoring on Mean Glucose Levels
Figure 8 illustrates the pooled effect of AI-predictive continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) on mean glucose levels across 11 randomized controlled trials, analyzed using a random-effects REML model. Individual study estimates are shown as blue squares proportional to their statistical weight, with horizontal lines representing 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
The pooled analysis demonstrates a significant reduction in mean glucose levels associated with AI-predictive CGM, with an overall effect size of −1.05 (95% CI: −1.38 to −0.71), favoring the intervention. Moderate to substantial heterogeneity was observed among studies (τ² = 0.19; I² = 76.41%), confirmed by a significant Cochran Q test (Q(10) = 30.56, p < 0.001). Despite this heterogeneity, the direction of effect was consistently toward lower mean glucose levels, and the overall effect was highly statistically significant (z = −6.09, p < 0.001), supporting the role of AI-predictive CGM in improving overall glycaemic exposure.
Effect of AI-Predictive Continuous Glucose Monitoring on CGM Wear Duration
Figure 9 presents the pooled effect of AI-predictive continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) on CGM wear duration across 10 randomized controlled trials, analyzed using a random-effects REML model. Individual study estimates are shown as blue squares proportional to their statistical weight, with horizontal lines representing 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
The pooled analysis did not demonstrate a statistically significant difference in CGM wear duration between AI-predictive CGM and comparator groups, with an overall effect estimate of 174.36 (95% CI: −27.45 to 376.16). Substantial heterogeneity was observed across studies (τ² = 104,687.76; I² = 100%), indicating marked variability in reported wear-time metrics and study designs. The Cochran Q test confirmed significant heterogeneity (Q(9) = 643.57, p < 0.001). The overall effect did not reach statistical significance (z = 1.69, p = 0.09), suggesting that AI-predictive features may not consistently influence CGM adherence or wear duration across diverse clinical settings.
this meta-analysis demonstrates that AI-predictive CGM significantly reduces hypoglycaemia burden while improving overall glycaemic control. Compared with prior CGM meta-analyses, these findings underscore the added value of predictive intelligence beyond standard glucose monitoring. Future trials should focus on long-term outcomes, real-world effectiveness, and identification of patient subgroups most likely to benefit from AI-driven predictive technologies. Conflict of Interest The authors certify that there is no conflict of interest with any financial organization regarding the material discussed in the manuscript. Funding The authors report no involvement in the research by the sponsor that could have influenced the outcome of this work. Authors’ contributions. All authors contributed equally to the manuscript and read and approved the final version of the manuscript. Acknowledgement This paper is the collaborative work of all authors under the mentorship for the research work from BIR (Biomedical and International Research). We all authors acknowledge this mentorship for this meta-analysis.