Contents
Download PDF
pdf Download XML
30 Views
3 Downloads
Share this article
Research Article | Volume 15 Issue 2 (Feb, 2025) | Pages 704 - 708
Validation Of “Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (Meds) Score” In Patients Presenting with Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome at Government Medical College and Esi Hospital, Coimbatore in Predicting 28- Days Mortality of Sepsis
 ,
 ,
 ,
 ,
1
Associate professor, Department of General surgery, Govt Medical College and ESI Hospital, Coimbatore, TN, INDIA
2
Associate professor, Department of General surgery, Govt Medical College and ESI Hospital, Coimbatore, TN, INDIA,
3
Senior Assistant professor, Department of General surgery, Govt Medical College and ESI Hospital, Coimbatore, TN, INDIA
4
Assistant professor, Department of General surgery, Govt Medical College and ESI Hospital, Coimbatore, TN, INDIA
5
DNB trainee, Department of General surgery, Dishari health point pvt ltd., Malda, west Bengal, INDIA
Under a Creative Commons license
Open Access
Received
Dec. 11, 2024
Revised
Jan. 9, 2024
Accepted
Jan. 31, 2024
Published
Feb. 27, 2024
Abstract

Background: Sepsis progress rapidly and has high morbidity and mortality. So, it becomes necessary to have a valid diagnostic tool which can rapidly stratify the patients based on the risk they pose. MEDS score is such an evaluation tool which is computed from readily available parameters. This study is conducted to evaluate the MEDS score to predict mortality in 28 days of sepsis. Methods: This Prospective study was conducted at Government medical college and ESI hospital, coimbatore for one year duration after obtaining local ethical committee permission. Based on the incidence at this college the sample size was calculated as 178 patients presenting to emergency department with features of systemic inflammatory response syndrome. Nine clinical and laboratory parameters were noted at the time of admission and they were followed for 28 days with aim of recovery from illness or mortality and the variables noted.  Results: Data were analysed using SPSS V.16 software. The MEDS score had an area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88(95% confidence interval, 0.83- 0.92) and has perfect discriminatory ability in all five risk categories. Conclusion: The MEDS score system predicts 28-days mortality with discriminative ability among patients presenting with features of systemic inflammatory response syndrome to emergency department, Government medical college and ESI hospital, coimbatore. All the nine risk factors included in computing MEDS score has cumulative effect in influencing mortality rate and none has independent risk.

Keywords
INTRODUCTION

Sepsis is described as a systemic inflammatory response syndrome, which is initiated by a proven or assumed infectious etiology. Sepsis has a rapid pathophysiological course towards severe multiorgan dysfunction. It has increased morbidity and mortality profile and in septic shock the mortality accounts to about 16% to 50%.

 

To prevent mortality and to alleviate morbidity we should be,

  1. Able to rapidly classify the patients with SIRS features based on their risk profile for care.
  2. Capable of starting EGDT1 early goal directed therapy within golden period that is first 6 hours which can reduce the mortality to 7% to 16%.
  3. Applying these sophisticated and demanding treatment strategies to the patient who has only low risk would be unnecessary, harmful, not cost-effective and also impractical.
  4. As there is an increased demand for intensive care beds and scarcity of resources, we should allocate them properly in such a way that the needy get the benefit.

 

So formed a risk stratification tool which is reliable and reproducible and it improves the management of sepsis and improves the outcome. Such a tool is the

 

Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS)2 score

  • It is developed by Shapiro et al in 2003.
  • Its unique feature is that it is a basic scoring system.
  • Parameters included in this scoring system are readily available from the baseline details gathered and investigated at the time of admission. They are broadly classified into,
  1. Predisposing factors,
  2. Infection,
  3. Immune response,
  4. Organ dysfunction criteria.

S.NO

CHARACTERISTIC PARAMETER

SCORE

 

Predisposition factors:

 

1

Age > 65years

3

2

Nursing home resident

2

3

Co morbid condition with high mortality

6

 

Infection:

 

4

Lower respiratory tract infection

3

 

Immune response:

 

5

Band forms > 5%

3

 

Organ dysfunction criteria:

 

6

Respiratoy rate > 20

3

7

Refractile shock in sepsis

3

8

Thrombocytopenia < 150,000/mm3

3

9

Confused mental status

2

 

TOTAL SCORE

27

 

Based on the total score obtained the patients are categorized into 5 MEDS- risk groups.

 

Total points

MEDS- risk group

0-4

Very low

5-7

Low

8-12

Moderate

13-15

High

>15

Very- high

 

Mortality predicted for each group by Shapiro et al is:

MEDS- risk group

Mortality rate (28 days) in %

Very low

1.1

Low

4.4

Moderate

9.3

High

16.1

Very-high

39.0

MATERIALS AND METHODS

OBJECTIVE:

  • To prospectively and externally compare the 28-days mortality predictivity of MEDS score in patients who presenting having SIRS at department of surgery in Government medical college and ESI hospital, coimbatore.
  • To evaluate association of MEDS risk factors in sepsis patient influencing mortality.
  • To evaluate efficacy of Early Goal Directed Therapy in sepsis patients.

 

METHODOLOGY:

STUDY DESIGN:            Prospective cohort study.

SAMPLE SIZE: 178 patients.

 

INCLUSION CRITERIA:

  • 178 patients presenting to department of surgery at Government medical college & ESI hospital, Coimbatore.
  • With features of SIRS:

SIRS is defined as presence of atleast 2 of following characteristics:

  • Pyrexia - more than 100.4’F or less than 96.8’F
  • Cardiac rate - tachycardia >90/min
  • Breath rate - >20/min
  • Abnormal Leucocyte count- >12,000 or <4000
  • Aged 18 years and above.
  • Between July-2015 to Jue-2016.

 

EXCLUSION CRITERIA:

  • Patients who are below 18 years.
  • Pregnant patients.

 

STUDY METHOD:

The MEDS score variables are collected for the patients included in the study. Data will be entered in an excel work sheet.

Based on the total score the patients will be categorized into various MEDS risk groups.

The patients will be followed till recovery from illness or death upto maximum of 28days and the outcome will be recorded.

 

OUTCOME:

  1. Patient died within 28 days,
  2. Cured of illness and sent from hospital stable.

 

Then the obtained outcomes of data will be analysed at the end of the study period.  

RESULTS

Table 1: Sex Distribution In Sample

S.NO

SEX

TOTAL

1.

MALE

142

2.

FEMALE

36

Table 2: Meds- Risk Category

S.NO

MEDS- RISK CATEGORY

TOTAL

1

VERY LOW       

37

2

LOW

39

3

MODERATE

39

4

HIGH

34

5

VERY HIGH

29

Table 3: Outcome In Different Meds Group

S.NO

MEDS- RISK GROUP

TOTAL

DISCHARGED

DIED

MORTALITY %

1

VERY LOW       

37

36

1

2.7

2

LOW

39

37

2

5.1

3

MODERATE

39

36

3

7.7

4

HIGH

34

29

5

14.7

5

VERY HIGH

29

21

8

27.6

 

Table 4: Comparison Of Predicted Mortality In Study And By Shapiro Et Al.

S.NO

MEDS- RISK GROUP

MORTALITY IN PRESENT STUDY

MORTALITY PREDICTED BY SHAPIRO ET AL

1

VERY LOW       

2.7

1.1

2

LOW

5.1

4.4

3

MODERATE

7.7

9.3

4

HIGH

14.7

16.1

5

VERY HIGH

27.6

39

Table 5: Individual Parameters Influencing Mortality.

S.NO

PARAMETER

IN ALL CASES

MORTALITY

1

AGE >65 YEARS

45

7

2

NURSING HOME RESIDENT

121

15

3

RAPIDLY TERMINAL COMORBID ILLNESS

39

6

4

LOWER RESPIRATORY INFECTION

75

12

5

BANDS >5%

37

4

6

TACYPNOEA/ HYPOXEMIA

91

16

7

SEPTIC SHOCK

68

12

8

PLATELET <150,000

68

8

9

ALTERED MENTAL STATUS

49

9

 

DISCUSSION

Sepsis which is a systemic inflammatory response syndrome3, initiated by a proven or proposed infectious etiology. It progress very drastically to an aggressive stage with multi organ dysfunction. It has high morbidity and mortality rates ranging from 16% to 50% in septic shock.

 

Hence to predict the outcome early and to initiate EGDT, a scoring system devised by Shapiro et al known as MEDS4 score was selected in the study and subjected for validation.

The nine readily available parameters of 178 patients were collected over a period of one year and the patients were categorized into five different risk groups. The variables were analysed using SPSS version 16.0 software.

 

The MEDS score had an area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88 (95% confidence interval, 0.83-0.92) and has perfect discriminatory5 ability in all five risk categories.

CONCLUSION
  • The MEDS score system predicts 28-day mortality with discriminative ability among patients presenting with features of systemic inflammatory response syndrome to emergency department, Government medical college & ESI hospital, Coimbatore.
  • All the nine risk factors included in computing MEDS score has cumulative effect in influencing mortality rate and none has independent risk
REFERENCES
  1. Knaus WA, Draper EA, Wagner DP, Zimmerman JE. APACHE II: a severity of disease classification system. Crit Care Med. 1985 Oct; 13(10):818–29 pmid:3928249
  2. Hargrove J, Nguyen HB. Bench-to-bedside review: Outcome predictions for critically ill patients in the emergency department. Crit Care. 2005 August;9(4):376–83 pmid:16137387
  3. Goodacre S, Turner J, Nicholl J. Prediction of mortality among emergency medical admissions. Emerg Med J. 2006 May;23(5):372–5 pmid:16627839
  4. Olsson T, Terent A, Lind L. Rapid Emergency Medicine score: a new prognostic tool for in-hospital mortality in nonsurgical emergency department patients. J Intern Med. 2004 May;255(5):579–87 pmid:15078500
  5. Olsson T, Lind L. Comparison of the rapid emergency medicine score and APACHE II in nonsurgical emergency department patients. Acad Emerg Med. 2003 Oct;10(10):1040–8 pmid:14525735
Recommended Articles
Research Article
Glycemic Dysregulation in Pregnancy and Its Impact on Neonatal Glucose Homeostasis and Birth Weight: A Clinical Correlation Study
...
Published: 31/12/2024
Download PDF
Research Article
Impact of Delivery Method on Neonatal Gut Microbiota Composition: A Prospective Cohort Study in South Indian Infants
...
Published: 28/10/2024
Download PDF
Research Article
A Comparitive Study of Recombinant Erythropoetin Injectables Versus the Oral Formulation of Desidustat in Treating Patients of the Anemia of Chronic Kidney Disease
...
Published: 22/06/2025
Download PDF
Research Article
Incidence of Postdural Puncture Headache with and Without Re-Insertion of Stylet Before Removing Spinal Needle in Patients Undergoing LSCS Under Spinal Anesthesia with 26G quincke Needle
...
Published: 21/06/2025
Download PDF
Chat on WhatsApp
Copyright © EJCM Publisher. All Rights Reserved.